Sunday, October 8, 2017

A Korean Peace Treaty

   In 1951, the Korean War ended in bloody deadlock. . The Korean War grew out of border disputes between North and South Korea which were interpreted by many as a clash between democracy and dictatorial communism. Through the intrusion of foreign countries, what was a local disturbance was transformed into a wider dispute with millions of casualties on both sides.

  The war was followed by 3 years of negotiations, which like the war itself ended in stalemate. Although a truce was obtained, a peace treaty remained elusive. The world has been living with this situation ever since. After nearly 1 million deaths North Korea has sought some sort of meaning to the war. Not only did they not achieve their goal of unification of North and South but also the brutality of the regime and the absence of free elections has led many to question the very legitimacy of their government. In response, North Korea has developed nuclear weapons approaching parity with other nuclear powers.  This situation has resulted in a new cold war with North Korea and its Chinese and Russian backers and with the United States  and its allies as protagonists. The new reality cries out for a solution.


   The October 2, 2017 issue of Time Magazine contained an article summarizing the difficulties of convincing North Korea to give up its nuclear arsenal. The article by Philip Bobbitt was based on a longer work referenced in the Time article available online at the Time Website. The article consisted of a series of impediments to a final solution:

   There is nothing the Unite States can do to convince North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons, since such a measure would rob them of their security.

   There is nothing the US can do for North Korea to accomplish the same end, for the same reason.

  There is nothing the international community can do regarding sanctions since it is only the threat of nuclear weapons that prevents regime change.

    After expressing these difficulties, the article suggested another option, which is inherently dangerous. I.e. a direct attack on North Korea’s nuclear facilities. The author admitted that such an approach would invite a vengeful North Korean response including the use of nuclear weapons and possibly a worldwide war involving China and Russia.

   The article ended with a safer alternative, i.e. involvement of China to provide a nuclear guarantee to Korea to defend its existence and governmental legitimacy. The advantage to China would be that it could assume the role of a world player and hence raise its own prestige.  With the threat from the United States removed, North Korea might see itself clear to reducing its nuclear arsenal. The problem with this solution is resistance by the North Koreans who are burdened by the weight of memory of an endless and senseless civil war, consequent to foreign involvement.

    Other analysts have contributed suggestions for further solutions.
 On Sept 7.2017 John Badgley proposed  how this situation might be remedied. He suggested that what the North desired was leverage in dealing with the rest of the world. A solution to the problem might be to pick up where the world left off in 1953 and to obtain a peace treaty that would satisfy all sides. He suggested referral to the United Nations Security Council. Clearly we must deal with unfinished business.
 
   In conclusion, when truces are instituted to halt conflicts, peace treaties usual follow to settle political differences. This was never achieved for the Korean War and we are left with tragic memories.  It may be the “forgotten war” to us but the North Korean people have not forgotten it. In order to bring closure, a peace treaty between the combatants is required.  However, there is no clear pathway for this desired outcome other than to accept Korea as a nuclear power. Furthermore one needs to abandon demonization of the North Norean people and to recognize our shared humanity. Thus one must recognize the wishes and yearnings of the North Korean people. Like all people recovering from war they wish to obtain meaning for their suffering.  In addition they desire aid to reverse the devastating effects of sanctions from the United States whom they blame for their economic suffering. Many find meaning in their leader Kim Jong Un, who demands respect from his people and from the rest of the world, based on military might. For this reason, it is essential for them to retain their nuclear threat. 

   We have lived through this before in our dealings with the Soviet Union. Mutual assured destruction seems insane but is actually world stabilizing and may be required for a peace treaty.  Since the war was fought with the consent of the United Nations referral to the United Nations Security Council seems feasible and advisable. Although Kim Jong Un has been demonized and has been declared psychotic, there is little evidence for this.  Mutual provocations have been proven to have limited utility. It is time to achieve the peace that we have all yearned for.

 Posted  by Arthur Banner





No comments:

Post a Comment